MU Stock: RSI 30/70 Mean Reversion Backtest — +82.0% vs +1319.0% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the RSI 30/70 Mean Reversion strategy on MU over 5 years: +82.0% return vs +1319.0% buy-and-hold, 7 trades, 43% win rate, 31.0% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +82.0% (trailed buy-and-hold at +1319.0%)
- Win rate: 43% over 7 trades
- Max drawdown: 31.0%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.45
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On MU, the RSI 30/70 Mean Reversion trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +82.0% against +1319.0% for simply holding — a gap of 1236.9 percentage points. The strategy took 7 completed trades (3 profitable, 4 not), a 43% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 31.0% versus 57.6% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into MU over the same window returned +695.4%. Best single trade: +49.8% (2025-04-04 to 2025-05-13); worst: -5.0% (2024-07-25 to 2024-08-01).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A classic mean-reversion setup: buy Micron (MU) when the 14-day RSI signals oversold (below 30), sell when it signals overbought (above 70).
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