META Stock: RSI 30/70 Mean Reversion Backtest — +176.4% vs +301.3% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the RSI 30/70 Mean Reversion strategy on META over 5 years: +176.4% return vs +301.3% buy-and-hold, 10 trades, 50% win rate, 21.6% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +176.4% (trailed buy-and-hold at +301.3%)
- Win rate: 50% over 10 trades
- Max drawdown: 21.6%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.91
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On META, the RSI 30/70 Mean Reversion trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +176.4% against +301.3% for simply holding — a gap of 124.8 percentage points. The strategy took 10 completed trades (5 profitable, 5 not), a 50% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 21.6% versus 47.4% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into META over the same window returned +83.4%. Best single trade: +51.0% (2022-11-02 to 2023-01-12); worst: -5.0% (2022-09-26 to 2022-10-11).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A classic mean-reversion setup: buy Meta (META) when the 14-day RSI signals oversold (below 30), sell when it signals overbought (above 70).
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