DOGE: RSI 30/70 Mean Reversion Backtest — +143.7% vs -25.3% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the RSI 30/70 Mean Reversion strategy on DOGE-USD over 5 years: +143.7% return vs -25.3% buy-and-hold, 21 trades, 29% win rate, 34.8% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +143.7% (beat buy-and-hold at -25.3%)
- Win rate: 29% over 21 trades
- Max drawdown: 34.8%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.42
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On DOGE, the RSI 30/70 Mean Reversion beat buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +143.7% against -25.3% for simply holding — a gap of 169.0 percentage points. The strategy took 21 completed trades (6 profitable, 15 not), a 29% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 34.8% versus 85.9% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into DOGE over the same window returned -35.4%. Best single trade: +51.5% (2022-06-13 to 2022-08-14); worst: -5.0% (2022-06-11 to 2022-06-12).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A classic mean-reversion setup: buy Dogecoin when the 14-day RSI signals oversold (below 30), sell when it signals overbought (above 70).
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