APLD Stock: RSI 30/70 Mean Reversion Backtest — +106.1% vs +437.2% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the RSI 30/70 Mean Reversion strategy on APLD over 5 years: +106.1% return vs +437.2% buy-and-hold, 9 trades, 22% win rate, 33.0% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +106.1% (trailed buy-and-hold at +437.2%)
- Win rate: 22% over 9 trades
- Max drawdown: 33.0%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.59
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On APLD, the RSI 30/70 Mean Reversion trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +106.1% against +437.2% for simply holding — a gap of 331.1 percentage points. The strategy took 9 completed trades (2 profitable, 7 not), a 22% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 33.0% versus 76.7% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into APLD over the same window returned +151.9%. Best single trade: +82.1% (2024-04-15 to 2024-05-20); worst: -5.0% (2023-03-09 to 2023-03-10).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A classic mean-reversion setup: buy Applied Digital (APLD) when the 14-day RSI signals oversold (below 30), sell when it signals overbought (above 70).
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