AMD Stock: RSI 30/70 Mean Reversion Backtest — +187.2% vs +564.5% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the RSI 30/70 Mean Reversion strategy on AMD over 5 years: +187.2% return vs +564.5% buy-and-hold, 10 trades, 40% win rate, 22.0% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +187.2% (trailed buy-and-hold at +564.5%)
- Win rate: 40% over 10 trades
- Max drawdown: 22.0%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.85
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On AMD, the RSI 30/70 Mean Reversion trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +187.2% against +564.5% for simply holding — a gap of 377.3 percentage points. The strategy took 10 completed trades (4 profitable, 6 not), a 40% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 22.0% versus 63.0% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into AMD over the same window returned +336.4%. Best single trade: +50.5% (2025-04-08 to 2025-05-14); worst: -5.0% (2022-09-22 to 2022-09-29).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A classic mean-reversion setup: buy AMD when the 14-day RSI signals oversold (below 30), sell when it signals overbought (above 70).
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