XRP: MACD Signal Line Crossover Backtest — +691.2% vs +144.9% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the MACD Signal Line Crossover strategy on XRP-USD over 5 years: +691.2% return vs +144.9% buy-and-hold, 57 trades, 25% win rate, 39.0% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +691.2% (beat buy-and-hold at +144.9%)
- Win rate: 25% over 57 trades
- Max drawdown: 39.0%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.84
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On XRP, the MACD Signal Line Crossover beat buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +691.2% against +144.9% for simply holding — a gap of 546.3 percentage points. The strategy took 57 completed trades (14 profitable, 43 not), a 25% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 39.0% versus 72.1% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into XRP over the same window returned +46.9%. Best single trade: +336.8% (2024-11-06 to 2024-12-10); worst: -5.0% (2022-10-07 to 2022-10-11).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A momentum strategy: buy XRP when the MACD line crosses above its signal line, sell when it crosses back below.
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