V Stock: MACD Signal Line Crossover Backtest — +13.1% vs +118.2% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the MACD Signal Line Crossover strategy on V over 5 years: +13.1% return vs +118.2% buy-and-hold, 49 trades, 31% win rate, 26.2% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +13.1% (trailed buy-and-hold at +118.2%)
- Win rate: 31% over 49 trades
- Max drawdown: 26.2%
- Sharpe ratio: -0.09
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On V, the MACD Signal Line Crossover trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +13.1% against +118.2% for simply holding — a gap of 105.1 percentage points. The strategy took 49 completed trades (15 profitable, 34 not), a 31% win rate.
It did not buy that return with less pain: the strategy's max drawdown was 26.2%, against 20.4% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into V over the same window returned +55.6%. Best single trade: +14.5% (2026-10-07 to 2026-11-12); worst: -5.0% (2022-10-05 to 2022-10-12).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A momentum strategy: buy Visa (V) when the MACD line crosses above its signal line, sell when it crosses back below.
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