SOL: MACD Signal Line Crossover Backtest — +1190.0% vs +72.3% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the MACD Signal Line Crossover strategy on SOL-USD over 5 years: +1190.0% return vs +72.3% buy-and-hold, 54 trades, 37% win rate, 33.1% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +1190.0% (beat buy-and-hold at +72.3%)
- Win rate: 37% over 54 trades
- Max drawdown: 33.1%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.99
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On SOL, the MACD Signal Line Crossover beat buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +1190.0% against +72.3% for simply holding — a gap of 1117.7 percentage points. The strategy took 54 completed trades (20 profitable, 34 not), a 37% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 33.1% versus 79.5% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into SOL over the same window returned +63.1%. Best single trade: +117.0% (2023-10-17 to 2023-11-21); worst: -5.0% (2022-06-15 to 2022-06-16).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A momentum strategy: buy Solana when the MACD line crosses above its signal line, sell when it crosses back below.
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