MU Stock: MACD Signal Line Crossover Backtest — +508.3% vs +1319.0% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the MACD Signal Line Crossover strategy on MU over 5 years: +508.3% return vs +1319.0% buy-and-hold, 42 trades, 50% win rate, 23.8% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +508.3% (trailed buy-and-hold at +1319.0%)
- Win rate: 50% over 42 trades
- Max drawdown: 23.8%
- Sharpe ratio: 1.19
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On MU, the MACD Signal Line Crossover trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +508.3% against +1319.0% for simply holding — a gap of 810.7 percentage points. The strategy took 42 completed trades (21 profitable, 21 not), a 50% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 23.8% versus 57.6% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into MU over the same window returned +695.4%. Best single trade: +80.0% (2026-04-08 to 2026-05-20); worst: -5.0% (2023-04-28 to 2023-05-03).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A momentum strategy: buy Micron (MU) when the MACD line crosses above its signal line, sell when it crosses back below.
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