META Stock: MACD Signal Line Crossover Backtest — +191.8% vs +301.3% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the MACD Signal Line Crossover strategy on META over 5 years: +191.8% return vs +301.3% buy-and-hold, 44 trades, 45% win rate, 24.0% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +191.8% (trailed buy-and-hold at +301.3%)
- Win rate: 45% over 44 trades
- Max drawdown: 24.0%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.87
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On META, the MACD Signal Line Crossover trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +191.8% against +301.3% for simply holding — a gap of 109.4 percentage points. The strategy took 44 completed trades (20 profitable, 24 not), a 45% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 24.0% versus 47.4% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into META over the same window returned +83.4%. Best single trade: +47.3% (2022-12-29 to 2023-02-15); worst: -5.0% (2022-09-09 to 2022-09-13).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A momentum strategy: buy Meta (META) when the MACD line crosses above its signal line, sell when it crosses back below.
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