GOOGL Stock: MACD Signal Line Crossover Backtest — +93.5% vs +178.8% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the MACD Signal Line Crossover strategy on GOOGL over 5 years: +93.5% return vs +178.8% buy-and-hold, 42 trades, 48% win rate, 18.8% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +93.5% (trailed buy-and-hold at +178.8%)
- Win rate: 48% over 42 trades
- Max drawdown: 18.8%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.60
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On GOOGL, the MACD Signal Line Crossover trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +93.5% against +178.8% for simply holding — a gap of 85.2 percentage points. The strategy took 42 completed trades (20 profitable, 22 not), a 48% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 18.8% versus 30.6% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into GOOGL over the same window returned +89.0%. Best single trade: +34.2% (2026-04-02 to 2026-05-18); worst: -5.0% (2022-10-04 to 2022-10-26).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A momentum strategy: buy Google (GOOGL) when the MACD line crosses above its signal line, sell when it crosses back below.
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