DIS Stock: MACD Signal Line Crossover Backtest — +40.6% vs +9.1% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the MACD Signal Line Crossover strategy on DIS over 5 years: +40.6% return vs +9.1% buy-and-hold, 40 trades, 35% win rate, 24.8% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +40.6% (beat buy-and-hold at +9.1%)
- Win rate: 35% over 40 trades
- Max drawdown: 24.8%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.26
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On DIS, the MACD Signal Line Crossover beat buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +40.6% against +9.1% for simply holding — a gap of 31.5 percentage points. The strategy took 40 completed trades (14 profitable, 26 not), a 35% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 24.8% versus 32.9% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into DIS over the same window returned +20.1%. Best single trade: +30.1% (2025-04-22 to 2025-05-29); worst: -5.0% (2023-05-08 to 2023-05-11).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A momentum strategy: buy Disney (DIS) when the MACD line crosses above its signal line, sell when it crosses back below.
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