BA Stock: MACD Signal Line Crossover Backtest — +12.3% vs +7.2% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the MACD Signal Line Crossover strategy on BA over 5 years: +12.3% return vs +7.2% buy-and-hold, 38 trades, 29% win rate, 40.0% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +12.3% (beat buy-and-hold at +7.2%)
- Win rate: 29% over 38 trades
- Max drawdown: 40.0%
- Sharpe ratio: -0.01
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On BA, the MACD Signal Line Crossover beat buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +12.3% against +7.2% for simply holding — a gap of 5.1 percentage points. The strategy took 38 completed trades (11 profitable, 27 not), a 29% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 40.0% versus 48.3% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into BA over the same window returned -9.5%. Best single trade: +30.0% (2022-10-06 to 2022-11-28); worst: -5.0% (2023-10-10 to 2023-10-19).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A momentum strategy: buy Boeing (BA) when the MACD line crosses above its signal line, sell when it crosses back below.
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