AVGO Stock: MACD Signal Line Crossover Backtest — +41.1% vs +665.2% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the MACD Signal Line Crossover strategy on AVGO over 5 years: +41.1% return vs +665.2% buy-and-hold, 48 trades, 31% win rate, 39.7% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +41.1% (trailed buy-and-hold at +665.2%)
- Win rate: 31% over 48 trades
- Max drawdown: 39.7%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.25
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On AVGO, the MACD Signal Line Crossover trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +41.1% against +665.2% for simply holding — a gap of 624.2 percentage points. The strategy took 48 completed trades (15 profitable, 33 not), a 31% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 39.7% versus 41.1% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into AVGO over the same window returned +210.3%. Best single trade: +36.7% (2024-12-04 to 2025-01-03); worst: -5.0% (2022-10-05 to 2022-10-07).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A momentum strategy: buy Broadcom (AVGO) when the MACD line crosses above its signal line, sell when it crosses back below.
Run this exact rule on your own ticker — Test-My-Rule, free · StratIQ Premium: daily picks with exact levels