APLD Stock: MACD Signal Line Crossover Backtest — +513.1% vs +437.2% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the MACD Signal Line Crossover strategy on APLD over 5 years: +513.1% return vs +437.2% buy-and-hold, 40 trades, 23% win rate, 55.0% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +513.1% (beat buy-and-hold at +437.2%)
- Win rate: 23% over 40 trades
- Max drawdown: 55.0%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.97
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On APLD, the MACD Signal Line Crossover beat buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +513.1% against +437.2% for simply holding — a gap of 75.9 percentage points. The strategy took 40 completed trades (9 profitable, 31 not), a 23% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 55.0% versus 76.7% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into APLD over the same window returned +151.9%. Best single trade: +133.8% (2025-04-25 to 2025-06-17); worst: -5.0% (2023-05-10 to 2023-05-12).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A momentum strategy: buy Applied Digital (APLD) when the MACD line crosses above its signal line, sell when it crosses back below.
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