AMZN Stock: MACD Signal Line Crossover Backtest — +8.8% vs +109.1% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the MACD Signal Line Crossover strategy on AMZN over 5 years: +8.8% return vs +109.1% buy-and-hold, 51 trades, 25% win rate, 23.1% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +8.8% (trailed buy-and-hold at +109.1%)
- Win rate: 25% over 51 trades
- Max drawdown: 23.1%
- Sharpe ratio: -0.03
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On AMZN, the MACD Signal Line Crossover trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +8.8% against +109.1% for simply holding — a gap of 100.3 percentage points. The strategy took 51 completed trades (13 profitable, 38 not), a 25% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 23.1% versus 40.0% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into AMZN over the same window returned +63.8%. Best single trade: +27.7% (2026-04-01 to 2026-05-11); worst: -5.0% (2022-10-05 to 2022-10-07).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A momentum strategy: buy Amazon (AMZN) when the MACD line crosses above its signal line, sell when it crosses back below.
Run this exact rule on your own ticker — Test-My-Rule, free · StratIQ Premium: daily picks with exact levels