AMD Stock: MACD Signal Line Crossover Backtest — +618.2% vs +564.5% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the MACD Signal Line Crossover strategy on AMD over 5 years: +618.2% return vs +564.5% buy-and-hold, 40 trades, 43% win rate, 31.2% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +618.2% (beat buy-and-hold at +564.5%)
- Win rate: 43% over 40 trades
- Max drawdown: 31.2%
- Sharpe ratio: 1.27
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On AMD, the MACD Signal Line Crossover beat buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +618.2% against +564.5% for simply holding — a gap of 53.7 percentage points. The strategy took 40 completed trades (17 profitable, 23 not), a 43% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 31.2% versus 63.0% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into AMD over the same window returned +336.4%. Best single trade: +104.3% (2026-03-09 to 2026-05-19); worst: -5.0% (2022-10-05 to 2022-10-07).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A momentum strategy: buy AMD when the MACD line crosses above its signal line, sell when it crosses back below.
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