SOL: Golden Cross (50/200 SMA) Backtest — +233.1% vs +72.3% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the Golden Cross (50/200 SMA) strategy on SOL-USD over 5 years: +233.1% return vs +72.3% buy-and-hold, 6 trades, 17% win rate, 47.2% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +233.1% (beat buy-and-hold at +72.3%)
- Win rate: 17% over 6 trades
- Max drawdown: 47.2%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.54
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On SOL, the Golden Cross (50/200 SMA) beat buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +233.1% against +72.3% for simply holding — a gap of 160.8 percentage points. The strategy took 6 completed trades (1 profitable, 5 not), a 17% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 47.2% versus 79.5% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into SOL over the same window returned +63.1%. Best single trade: +330.5% (2023-10-22 to 2024-09-06); worst: -5.0% (2023-04-16 to 2023-04-19).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
One of the most widely cited trend-following signals: go long Solana when the 50-day SMA crosses above the 200-day SMA (a 'golden cross'), exit when it crosses back below (a 'death cross').
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