MU Stock: 20-Day EMA Trend Follow Backtest — +905.2% vs +1319.0% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the 20-Day EMA Trend Follow strategy on MU over 5 years: +905.2% return vs +1319.0% buy-and-hold, 5 trades, 40% win rate, 50.7% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +905.2% (trailed buy-and-hold at +1319.0%)
- Win rate: 40% over 5 trades
- Max drawdown: 50.7%
- Sharpe ratio: 1.24
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On MU, the 20-Day EMA Trend Follow trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +905.2% against +1319.0% for simply holding — a gap of 413.8 percentage points. The strategy took 5 completed trades (2 profitable, 3 not), a 40% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 50.7% versus 57.6% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into MU over the same window returned +695.4%. Best single trade: +618.5% (2025-07-22 to 2026-11-12); worst: -5.0% (2023-03-08 to 2023-03-13).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A simple trend-following rule: hold Micron (MU) whenever price is above its 20-day EMA, exit whenever price drops below it.
Run this exact rule on your own ticker — Test-My-Rule, free · StratIQ Premium: daily picks with exact levels