META Stock: 20-Day EMA Trend Follow Backtest — +179.2% vs +301.3% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the 20-Day EMA Trend Follow strategy on META over 5 years: +179.2% return vs +301.3% buy-and-hold, 9 trades, 33% win rate, 36.2% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +179.2% (trailed buy-and-hold at +301.3%)
- Win rate: 33% over 9 trades
- Max drawdown: 36.2%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.81
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On META, the 20-Day EMA Trend Follow trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +179.2% against +301.3% for simply holding — a gap of 122.1 percentage points. The strategy took 9 completed trades (3 profitable, 6 not), a 33% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 36.2% versus 47.4% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into META over the same window returned +83.4%. Best single trade: +238.1% (2023-03-02 to 2025-05-06); worst: -5.0% (2025-06-16 to 2025-10-30).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A simple trend-following rule: hold Meta (META) whenever price is above its 20-day EMA, exit whenever price drops below it.
Run this exact rule on your own ticker — Test-My-Rule, free · StratIQ Premium: daily picks with exact levels