DIS Stock: 20-Day EMA Trend Follow Backtest — -12.1% vs +9.1% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the 20-Day EMA Trend Follow strategy on DIS over 5 years: -12.1% return vs +9.1% buy-and-hold, 12 trades, 33% win rate, 48.9% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: -12.1% (trailed buy-and-hold at +9.1%)
- Win rate: 33% over 12 trades
- Max drawdown: 48.9%
- Sharpe ratio: -0.40
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On DIS, the 20-Day EMA Trend Follow trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: -12.1% against +9.1% for simply holding — a gap of 21.2 percentage points. The strategy took 12 completed trades (4 profitable, 8 not), a 33% win rate.
It did not buy that return with less pain: the strategy's max drawdown was 48.9%, against 32.9% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into DIS over the same window returned +20.1%. Best single trade: +12.1% (2026-09-25 to 2026-11-12); worst: -5.0% (2024-12-06 to 2025-01-08).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A simple trend-following rule: hold Disney (DIS) whenever price is above its 20-day EMA, exit whenever price drops below it.
Run this exact rule on your own ticker — Test-My-Rule, free · StratIQ Premium: daily picks with exact levels