CRM Stock: 20-Day EMA Trend Follow Backtest — +15.0% vs +39.5% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the 20-Day EMA Trend Follow strategy on CRM over 5 years: +15.0% return vs +39.5% buy-and-hold, 9 trades, 33% win rate, 38.4% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +15.0% (trailed buy-and-hold at +39.5%)
- Win rate: 33% over 9 trades
- Max drawdown: 38.4%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.04
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On CRM, the 20-Day EMA Trend Follow trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +15.0% against +39.5% for simply holding — a gap of 24.6 percentage points. The strategy took 9 completed trades (3 profitable, 6 not), a 33% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 38.4% versus 58.7% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into CRM over the same window returned +0.6%. Best single trade: +44.3% (2023-03-13 to 2024-07-10); worst: -5.0% (2024-10-31 to 2025-03-10).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A simple trend-following rule: hold Salesforce (CRM) whenever price is above its 20-day EMA, exit whenever price drops below it.
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