BA Stock: 20-Day EMA Trend Follow Backtest — -11.3% vs +7.2% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the 20-Day EMA Trend Follow strategy on BA over 5 years: -11.3% return vs +7.2% buy-and-hold, 17 trades, 12% win rate, 46.3% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: -11.3% (trailed buy-and-hold at +7.2%)
- Win rate: 12% over 17 trades
- Max drawdown: 46.3%
- Sharpe ratio: -0.19
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On BA, the 20-Day EMA Trend Follow trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: -11.3% against +7.2% for simply holding — a gap of 18.5 percentage points. The strategy took 17 completed trades (2 profitable, 15 not), a 12% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 46.3% versus 48.3% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into BA over the same window returned -9.5%. Best single trade: +51.1% (2025-04-04 to 2025-12-17); worst: -5.0% (2023-12-20 to 2024-01-03).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A simple trend-following rule: hold Boeing (BA) whenever price is above its 20-day EMA, exit whenever price drops below it.
Run this exact rule on your own ticker — Test-My-Rule, free · StratIQ Premium: daily picks with exact levels