AVGO Stock: 20-Day EMA Trend Follow Backtest — +308.1% vs +665.2% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the 20-Day EMA Trend Follow strategy on AVGO over 5 years: +308.1% return vs +665.2% buy-and-hold, 6 trades, 50% win rate, 41.1% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +308.1% (trailed buy-and-hold at +665.2%)
- Win rate: 50% over 6 trades
- Max drawdown: 41.1%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.87
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On AVGO, the 20-Day EMA Trend Follow trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +308.1% against +665.2% for simply holding — a gap of 357.1 percentage points. The strategy took 6 completed trades (3 profitable, 3 not), a 50% win rate.
It did not buy that return with less pain: the strategy's max drawdown was 41.1%, against 41.1% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into AVGO over the same window returned +210.3%. Best single trade: +254.6% (2023-01-06 to 2025-05-05); worst: -5.0% (2026-04-17 to 2026-06-05).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A simple trend-following rule: hold Broadcom (AVGO) whenever price is above its 20-day EMA, exit whenever price drops below it.
Run this exact rule on your own ticker — Test-My-Rule, free · StratIQ Premium: daily picks with exact levels