AMD Stock: 20-Day EMA Trend Follow Backtest — +450.4% vs +564.5% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the 20-Day EMA Trend Follow strategy on AMD over 5 years: +450.4% return vs +564.5% buy-and-hold, 5 trades, 40% win rate, 39.1% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +450.4% (trailed buy-and-hold at +564.5%)
- Win rate: 40% over 5 trades
- Max drawdown: 39.1%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.98
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On AMD, the 20-Day EMA Trend Follow trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +450.4% against +564.5% for simply holding — a gap of 114.1 percentage points. The strategy took 5 completed trades (2 profitable, 3 not), a 40% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 39.1% versus 63.0% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into AMD over the same window returned +336.4%. Best single trade: +282.2% (2025-09-05 to 2026-11-12); worst: -5.0% (2023-03-16 to 2023-04-14).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A simple trend-following rule: hold AMD whenever price is above its 20-day EMA, exit whenever price drops below it.
Run this exact rule on your own ticker — Test-My-Rule, free · StratIQ Premium: daily picks with exact levels