NVDA Stock: Daily RSI + Weekly Trend Filter Backtest — +0.0% vs +1249.3% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the Daily RSI + Weekly Trend Filter strategy on NVDA over 5 years: +0.0% return vs +1249.3% buy-and-hold, 0 trades, 0% win rate, 0.0% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +0.0% (trailed buy-and-hold at +1249.3%)
- Win rate: 0% over 0 trades
- Max drawdown: 0.0%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.00
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On NVDA, the Daily RSI + Weekly Trend Filter trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Sep 2026: +0.0% against +1249.3% for simply holding — a gap of 1249.3 percentage points. The strategy took 0 completed trades (0 profitable, 0 not), a 0% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 0.0% versus 41.5% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into NVDA over the same window returned +370.3%.
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Sep 2026 (generated 2026-10-01). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A multi-timeframe filter: only buy Nvidia (NVDA) on a daily RSI oversold signal (below 30) when the weekly trend is already bullish (50-week SMA above the 200-week SMA) — a short-term entry trigger gated by a longer-term trend confirmation, not just the daily signal alone. Sell when daily RSI rises back above 70.
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