META Stock: Daily RSI + Weekly Trend Filter Backtest — +3.1% vs +301.3% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the Daily RSI + Weekly Trend Filter strategy on META over 5 years: +3.1% return vs +301.3% buy-and-hold, 3 trades, 33% win rate, 24.8% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +3.1% (trailed buy-and-hold at +301.3%)
- Win rate: 33% over 3 trades
- Max drawdown: 24.8%
- Sharpe ratio: -0.11
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On META, the Daily RSI + Weekly Trend Filter trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +3.1% against +301.3% for simply holding — a gap of 298.2 percentage points. The strategy took 3 completed trades (1 profitable, 2 not), a 33% win rate — a small sample, so read this as a clue about the rule, not proof.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 24.8% versus 47.4% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into META over the same window returned +83.4%. Best single trade: +14.3% (2026-03-26 to 2026-11-12); worst: -5.0% (2025-10-31 to 2025-11-12).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A multi-timeframe filter: only buy Meta (META) on a daily RSI oversold signal (below 30) when the weekly trend is already bullish (50-week SMA above the 200-week SMA) — a short-term entry trigger gated by a longer-term trend confirmation, not just the daily signal alone. Sell when daily RSI rises back above 70.
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