DIS Stock: Daily RSI + Weekly Trend Filter Backtest — +18.1% vs +9.1% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the Daily RSI + Weekly Trend Filter strategy on DIS over 5 years: +18.1% return vs +9.1% buy-and-hold, 2 trades, 50% win rate, 14.7% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +18.1% (beat buy-and-hold at +9.1%)
- Win rate: 50% over 2 trades
- Max drawdown: 14.7%
- Sharpe ratio: -0.03
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On DIS, the Daily RSI + Weekly Trend Filter beat buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +18.1% against +9.1% for simply holding — a gap of 9.0 percentage points. The strategy took 2 completed trades (1 profitable, 1 not), a 50% win rate — a small sample, so read this as a clue about the rule, not proof.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 14.7% versus 32.9% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into DIS over the same window returned +20.1%. Best single trade: +24.4% (2026-03-24 to 2026-11-12); worst: -5.0% (2025-10-10 to 2025-11-20).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A multi-timeframe filter: only buy Disney (DIS) on a daily RSI oversold signal (below 30) when the weekly trend is already bullish (50-week SMA above the 200-week SMA) — a short-term entry trigger gated by a longer-term trend confirmation, not just the daily signal alone. Sell when daily RSI rises back above 70.
Run this exact rule on your own ticker — Test-My-Rule, free · StratIQ Premium: daily picks with exact levels