BA Stock: Daily RSI + Weekly Trend Filter Backtest — -6.7% vs +7.2% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the Daily RSI + Weekly Trend Filter strategy on BA over 5 years: -6.7% return vs +7.2% buy-and-hold, 3 trades, 33% win rate, 32.8% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: -6.7% (trailed buy-and-hold at +7.2%)
- Win rate: 33% over 3 trades
- Max drawdown: 32.8%
- Sharpe ratio: -0.31
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On BA, the Daily RSI + Weekly Trend Filter trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: -6.7% against +7.2% for simply holding — a gap of 13.9 percentage points. The strategy took 3 completed trades (1 profitable, 2 not), a 33% win rate — a small sample, so read this as a clue about the rule, not proof.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 32.8% versus 48.3% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into BA over the same window returned -9.5%. Best single trade: +3.4% (2026-10-27 to 2026-11-12); worst: -5.0% (2025-11-17 to 2025-11-20).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A multi-timeframe filter: only buy Boeing (BA) on a daily RSI oversold signal (below 30) when the weekly trend is already bullish (50-week SMA above the 200-week SMA) — a short-term entry trigger gated by a longer-term trend confirmation, not just the daily signal alone. Sell when daily RSI rises back above 70.
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