DOGE: 20-Day Breakout Backtest — +308.5% vs -25.3% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the 20-Day Breakout strategy on DOGE-USD over 5 years: +308.5% return vs -25.3% buy-and-hold, 23 trades, 35% win rate, 57.3% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +308.5% (beat buy-and-hold at -25.3%)
- Win rate: 35% over 23 trades
- Max drawdown: 57.3%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.59
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On DOGE, the 20-Day Breakout beat buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +308.5% against -25.3% for simply holding — a gap of 333.8 percentage points. The strategy took 23 completed trades (8 profitable, 15 not), a 35% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 57.3% versus 85.9% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into DOGE over the same window returned -35.4%. Best single trade: +225.3% (2024-09-21 to 2024-12-18); worst: -5.0% (2022-08-14 to 2022-08-15).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A trend-following breakout setup: buy Dogecoin when price closes above its highest level of the last 20 days, sell when it closes below its lowest level of the last 10 days.
Run this exact rule on your own ticker — Test-My-Rule, free · StratIQ Premium: daily picks with exact levels