V Stock: Bollinger Band Bounce Backtest — +40.1% vs +118.2% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the Bollinger Band Bounce strategy on V over 5 years: +40.1% return vs +118.2% buy-and-hold, 14 trades, 71% win rate, 15.6% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +40.1% (trailed buy-and-hold at +118.2%)
- Win rate: 71% over 14 trades
- Max drawdown: 15.6%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.30
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On V, the Bollinger Band Bounce trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +40.1% against +118.2% for simply holding — a gap of 78.1 percentage points. The strategy took 14 completed trades (10 profitable, 4 not), a 71% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 15.6% versus 20.4% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into V over the same window returned +55.6%. Best single trade: +12.1% (2025-04-04 to 2025-10-03); worst: -5.0% (2022-08-31 to 2022-09-21).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A volatility mean-reversion setup: buy Visa (V) when price touches the lower Bollinger Band, sell when it touches the upper band.
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