UNH Stock: Bollinger Band Bounce Backtest — +85.3% vs -16.0% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the Bollinger Band Bounce strategy on UNH over 5 years: +85.3% return vs -16.0% buy-and-hold, 27 trades, 52% win rate, 16.5% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +85.3% (beat buy-and-hold at -16.0%)
- Win rate: 52% over 27 trades
- Max drawdown: 16.5%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.58
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On UNH, the Bollinger Band Bounce beat buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +85.3% against -16.0% for simply holding — a gap of 101.3 percentage points. The strategy took 27 completed trades (14 profitable, 13 not), a 52% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 16.5% versus 61.4% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into UNH over the same window returned -2.1%. Best single trade: +27.9% (2025-08-01 to 2025-08-15); worst: -5.0% (2022-11-14 to 2023-01-10).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A volatility mean-reversion setup: buy UnitedHealth (UNH) when price touches the lower Bollinger Band, sell when it touches the upper band.
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