MU Stock: Bollinger Band Bounce Backtest — +1522.9% vs +1319.0% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the Bollinger Band Bounce strategy on MU over 5 years: +1522.9% return vs +1319.0% buy-and-hold, 20 trades, 70% win rate, 17.1% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +1522.9% (beat buy-and-hold at +1319.0%)
- Win rate: 70% over 20 trades
- Max drawdown: 17.1%
- Sharpe ratio: 2.18
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On MU, the Bollinger Band Bounce beat buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +1522.9% against +1319.0% for simply holding — a gap of 204.0 percentage points. The strategy took 20 completed trades (14 profitable, 6 not), a 70% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 17.1% versus 57.6% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into MU over the same window returned +695.4%. Best single trade: +79.1% (2026-03-30 to 2026-05-04); worst: -5.0% (2024-07-17 to 2024-07-24).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A volatility mean-reversion setup: buy Micron (MU) when price touches the lower Bollinger Band, sell when it touches the upper band.
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