META Stock: Bollinger Band Bounce Backtest — +154.4% vs +301.3% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the Bollinger Band Bounce strategy on META over 5 years: +154.4% return vs +301.3% buy-and-hold, 22 trades, 55% win rate, 19.6% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +154.4% (trailed buy-and-hold at +301.3%)
- Win rate: 55% over 22 trades
- Max drawdown: 19.6%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.92
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On META, the Bollinger Band Bounce trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +154.4% against +301.3% for simply holding — a gap of 146.9 percentage points. The strategy took 22 completed trades (12 profitable, 10 not), a 55% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 19.6% versus 47.4% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into META over the same window returned +83.4%. Best single trade: +21.3% (2026-07-30 to 2026-09-09); worst: -5.0% (2022-09-15 to 2022-09-23).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A volatility mean-reversion setup: buy Meta (META) when price touches the lower Bollinger Band, sell when it touches the upper band.
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