MA Stock: Bollinger Band Bounce Backtest — +57.8% vs +106.4% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the Bollinger Band Bounce strategy on MA over 5 years: +57.8% return vs +106.4% buy-and-hold, 19 trades, 58% win rate, 13.4% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +57.8% (trailed buy-and-hold at +106.4%)
- Win rate: 58% over 19 trades
- Max drawdown: 13.4%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.48
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On MA, the Bollinger Band Bounce trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +57.8% against +106.4% for simply holding — a gap of 48.6 percentage points. The strategy took 19 completed trades (11 profitable, 8 not), a 58% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 13.4% versus 20.9% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into MA over the same window returned +47.0%. Best single trade: +19.5% (2025-04-04 to 2025-08-14); worst: -5.0% (2022-08-30 to 2022-09-21).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A volatility mean-reversion setup: buy Mastercard (MA) when price touches the lower Bollinger Band, sell when it touches the upper band.
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