JNJ Stock: Bollinger Band Bounce Backtest — +18.1% vs +97.0% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the Bollinger Band Bounce strategy on JNJ over 5 years: +18.1% return vs +97.0% buy-and-hold, 20 trades, 65% win rate, 11.9% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +18.1% (trailed buy-and-hold at +97.0%)
- Win rate: 65% over 20 trades
- Max drawdown: 11.9%
- Sharpe ratio: -0.03
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On JNJ, the Bollinger Band Bounce trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +18.1% against +97.0% for simply holding — a gap of 78.9 percentage points. The strategy took 20 completed trades (13 profitable, 7 not), a 65% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 11.9% versus 17.4% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into JNJ over the same window returned +74.4%. Best single trade: +8.4% (2025-04-01 to 2025-07-16); worst: -5.0% (2023-01-17 to 2023-01-30).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A volatility mean-reversion setup: buy Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) when price touches the lower Bollinger Band, sell when it touches the upper band.
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