GOOGL Stock: Bollinger Band Bounce Backtest — +55.7% vs +178.8% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the Bollinger Band Bounce strategy on GOOGL over 5 years: +55.7% return vs +178.8% buy-and-hold, 22 trades, 45% win rate, 16.6% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +55.7% (trailed buy-and-hold at +178.8%)
- Win rate: 45% over 22 trades
- Max drawdown: 16.6%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.38
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On GOOGL, the Bollinger Band Bounce trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +55.7% against +178.8% for simply holding — a gap of 123.1 percentage points. The strategy took 22 completed trades (10 profitable, 12 not), a 45% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 16.6% versus 30.6% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into GOOGL over the same window returned +89.0%. Best single trade: +22.8% (2025-04-04 to 2025-06-10); worst: -5.0% (2022-08-30 to 2022-09-15).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A volatility mean-reversion setup: buy Google (GOOGL) when price touches the lower Bollinger Band, sell when it touches the upper band.
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