DOGE: Bollinger Band Bounce Backtest — +181.4% vs -25.3% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the Bollinger Band Bounce strategy on DOGE-USD over 5 years: +181.4% return vs -25.3% buy-and-hold, 54 trades, 30% win rate, 29.3% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +181.4% (beat buy-and-hold at -25.3%)
- Win rate: 30% over 54 trades
- Max drawdown: 29.3%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.47
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On DOGE, the Bollinger Band Bounce beat buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +181.4% against -25.3% for simply holding — a gap of 206.6 percentage points. The strategy took 54 completed trades (16 profitable, 38 not), a 30% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 29.3% versus 85.9% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into DOGE over the same window returned -35.4%. Best single trade: +51.5% (2022-06-13 to 2022-08-14); worst: -5.0% (2022-06-10 to 2022-06-11).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A volatility mean-reversion setup: buy Dogecoin when price touches the lower Bollinger Band, sell when it touches the upper band.
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