BA Stock: Bollinger Band Bounce Backtest — +27.5% vs +7.2% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the Bollinger Band Bounce strategy on BA over 5 years: +27.5% return vs +7.2% buy-and-hold, 27 trades, 33% win rate, 33.7% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +27.5% (beat buy-and-hold at +7.2%)
- Win rate: 33% over 27 trades
- Max drawdown: 33.7%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.15
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On BA, the Bollinger Band Bounce beat buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +27.5% against +7.2% for simply holding — a gap of 20.3 percentage points. The strategy took 27 completed trades (9 profitable, 18 not), a 33% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 33.7% versus 48.3% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into BA over the same window returned -9.5%. Best single trade: +59.2% (2025-04-04 to 2025-06-09); worst: -5.0% (2022-09-01 to 2022-09-16).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A volatility mean-reversion setup: buy Boeing (BA) when price touches the lower Bollinger Band, sell when it touches the upper band.
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