AVGO Stock: Bollinger Band Bounce Backtest — +206.0% vs +665.2% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the Bollinger Band Bounce strategy on AVGO over 5 years: +206.0% return vs +665.2% buy-and-hold, 21 trades, 48% win rate, 30.3% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +206.0% (trailed buy-and-hold at +665.2%)
- Win rate: 48% over 21 trades
- Max drawdown: 30.3%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.97
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On AVGO, the Bollinger Band Bounce trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +206.0% against +665.2% for simply holding — a gap of 459.2 percentage points. The strategy took 21 completed trades (10 profitable, 11 not), a 48% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 30.3% versus 41.1% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into AVGO over the same window returned +210.3%. Best single trade: +51.5% (2025-04-04 to 2025-05-12); worst: -5.0% (2022-08-30 to 2022-09-23).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A volatility mean-reversion setup: buy Broadcom (AVGO) when price touches the lower Bollinger Band, sell when it touches the upper band.
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