AMD Stock: Bollinger Band Bounce Backtest — +142.5% vs +564.5% Buy-and-Hold
Real backtest of the Bollinger Band Bounce strategy on AMD over 5 years: +142.5% return vs +564.5% buy-and-hold, 30 trades, 33% win rate, 30.8% max drawdown. Computed on real historical data, not simulated — full trade log and verdict inside.
- Total return: +142.5% (trailed buy-and-hold at +564.5%)
- Win rate: 33% over 30 trades
- Max drawdown: 30.8%
- Sharpe ratio: 0.66
- Period: 5 years of real historical price data
What the numbers say
On AMD, the Bollinger Band Bounce trailed buy-and-hold over the five years through Nov 2026: +142.5% against +564.5% for simply holding — a gap of 422.0 percentage points. The strategy took 30 completed trades (10 profitable, 20 not), a 33% win rate.
That came with a shallower worst stretch: the strategy's max drawdown was 30.8% versus 63.0% for buy-and-hold. Dollar-cost averaging into AMD over the same window returned +336.4%. Best single trade: +42.9% (2026-11-05 to 2026-11-12); worst: -5.0% (2022-08-30 to 2022-09-01).
Computed by StratIQ's backtest engine on real daily prices through Nov 2026 (generated 2026-11-12). Fills are assumed at the close with a 5% stop-loss; slippage and commissions are not modeled. This is a historical study of a rule — not a pick, not a recommendation, and not financial advice.
A volatility mean-reversion setup: buy AMD when price touches the lower Bollinger Band, sell when it touches the upper band.
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